Archive for November, 2012

Case-Shiller shows home prices rise again – MarketWatch


By Ruth Mantell

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — U.S. home prices rose in September for the sixth month, signaling that the housing market is “in the midst of a recovery,” according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home-price index released Tuesday. The S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city composite posted a 0.3% increase in September following a 0.8% gain in August. Home prices are up 3% from the prior year. “We are entering the seasonally weak part of the year. Despite the seasons, housing continues to improve,” said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. Among the 20 cities tracked by the index, 13 posted monthly gains in September. Tuesday’s report on home prices is the latest news on a strengthening housing market. There have also been recent gains in new construction, home-builder sentiment, and existing-home sales. However, while persistently low mortgage rates are attracting some buyers, consumers still face tight credit standards, and officials say factors such as tight lending terms will block a powerful housing recovery. Indeed, despite recent gains, prices are about 30% below peak levels in 2006, according to Case-Shiller data

 

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52% Say Buying A Home Family’s Best Investment – Rasmussen Reports


Sunday, November 25, 2012

Most Americans think buying a home is still a family’s best investment, but they don’t think now’s a good time to sell.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 52% of American Adults say buying a home is the best investment a family can make. Twenty-six percent (26%) disagree, while 22% are not sure.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 American Adults nationwide was conducted on November 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

 

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Vail Valley Real Estate Market Update, November 2012


Welcome to your November Real Estate Market Update.  Our local market is finally transitioning from a buyer’s market to a more traditional and balanced market.

In addition to my update on the overall real estate market, this report contains stories on:

Click on the link below to view the market update.

Market Update, November 2012

Vail and Beaver Creek Ski Resorts are now open.  Here’s hoping the storm forecast for early next week brings plenty of snow.

 

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Edwards Real Estate Market Update, November 2012


Welcome to your November Edwards Real Estate Market Update. As predicted, the Edwards market has gotten red-hot.  We have more than doubled sales in 2012 compared to 2011.

Click on the link below for the latest market update, current listings, and 2012 sales.
Market Update, November 2012

 

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Bachelor Gulch Real Estate Market Update, November 2012


Welcome to your November Bachelor Gulch Real Estate Market Update.  The recovery continues in our local market.  We will see an increase in activity for Bachelor Gulch in 2012 compared to 2011.

In addition to the latest BG real estate stats and trends, the market update contains stories on:

  • Warren Buffett makes a huge bet on the US Housing Market
  • Absorption Rate drops below 10 months for the overall real estate market in the Valley

Click on the links below to view the market update and the current BG condo and town home listings and 2012 sales.

Market Update, November 2012

Listings & Sales, November 2012

Beaver Creek opened on Wednesday to a beautiful day.  We can use some more snow and a storm is forecast for early next week.  Here’s hoping for a dump!

 

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Audi Birds of Prey: Official program book, race schedule and more!


Click on the link below to view the official program book for the upcoming Birds of Prey World Cup Races.

http://www.bcworldcup.com/

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US housing starts highest in more than four years – MarketWatch


By Ruth Mantell

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — Construction on new U.S. homes rose 3.6% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 894,000, the highest rate since July 2008, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported Tuesday. Due in part to disruptions from Hurricane Sandy, economists polled by MarketWatch had expected a decline in housing starts to a rate of 825,000. However, Hurricane Sandy had a minimal effect because it hit only a small part of the country at the end of the month, government analysts said. By region, starts in October fell 6.5% in the Northeast and 2.5% in the South, while rising 8.9% in the Midwest and 17.2% in the West. Meanwhile, building permits, a sign of future demand, declined 2.7% to a rate of 866,000. Permits for single-family homes rose 2.2% to an annual rate of 562,000 last month, while permits for structures with at least two units fell 10.6%. Starts are up 42% from last year, though the rate remains far below a bubble peak of almost 2.3 million in 2006.

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Great Video of Vail Gondola Construction


This video shows both setting the towers in place with a chopper and splicing the cable.  Fascinating!

http://blog.vail.com/gondola-update/#more-184

 

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Lawrence Yun, National Association of Realtors Chief Economist, Predicts Inflation on the Rise


I just returned from the NAR Convention in Orlando.  I was representing the VBR in my role as Chair-Elect.  I felt the overall tone was much more optimistic than last year.  There are many areas in the country where sales are significantly up year-over-year and these markets are also seeing significant price increases.  As you all know, we tend to trail the pack but hopefully we will see some similar activity in the Valley.

Here are some bullet points from the presentation by Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for NAR.  He was relatively optimistic regarding the national housing market but doesn’t seem to have much confidence in the government in making the right moves to address inflation, which he considers inevitable.

  1. He sees no inflation 2013 but 4 to 6% annually by 2015.  The key factors that are driving inflation higher are:
    1. Rents are going up across the country making home purchases much more attractive but also negatively impacting inflation.
    2. The Fed is more concerned with unemployment than inflation.
    3. The Fed’s Qualitative easing program will cause inflation (historically, whenever a country prints money, inflation rises).
    4. Budget deficits will cause inflation because more parties are competing in the lending marketplace.
    5. Inflation will cause higher borrowing costs for the government increasing the deficit, which in turn will increase inflation, which will increase the deficit…………………..
    6. Inflation will increase mortgage rates.  They will probably stay low for 3-6 more months but they should start to increase by the middle of next year.
    7. Home prices will appreciate 15% over next 3 years nationally.
    8. The Unemployment rate may have dropped slightly over the past few years but the Employment rate (the actual number of employed persons) has remained flat since 2009.
    9. The US will need to create 250,000/mo for 8 years to get back to where we were before the great recession.
    10. There will be more unequal wealth distribution because home prices are now appreciating and renters will be left behind.

 

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November NAHB builder sentiment hits 6-plus-year peak – Marketwatch


By Steve Goldstein

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) – Home-builder sentiment climbed in November for the seventh straight month to the highest level in more than six years, according to data released Monday that shows the continued improvement in the housing market. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index rose 5 points to a seasonally adjusted level of 46, the highest point since May 2006. The gauge historically tracks closely with single-family housing starts, though of late the magnitude of gains has been stronger with the sentiment index than with the hard data.

 

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